There’s no reason to do them at this point other than public demand. I have determined these forecasts to have marginal what we call “skill.” Skill is anything better than flipping a coin. First, with all of the death and destruction and the political turmoil and insanity that’s been going on recently, it just seems much less important to take up time with these seasonal forecasts. I’ve been waiting like a kid sitting beside the tree on Christmas morning for you to release your long-range Philadelphia winter weather forecast. So I called him at home to find out what the holdup is. Well, after Tynan released her latest Philadelphia long-range winter forecast in mid-November, I waited and waited for Schwartz to do the same so I could compare them, as I have in the past. And what did we get? Are you ready for this? Three tenths of an inch. Case in point: In 2019, Tynan said we could get anywhere from 18 to 24 inches of snow, while Schwartz predicted as much as 35 inches.
And though these Philadelphia winter forecasts are great for ratings, they’re frequently very, very wrong. They purport to tell us how much snow we’ll get in December, January, February and March - as many as four months from the date of their predictions. Hurricane Schwartz during his 2019 Philadelphia long-range winter weather forecast, which he says was his last (Screenshot via NBC 10)Įvery November, 6 ABC’s Cecily Tynan and NBC 10’s Glenn “Hurricane” Schwartz come out with their long-range Philadelphia winter weather forecasts.
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